Support The Moscow Times!

Ruble Slides Lower Ahead of Central Bank Meeting

The ruble extended losses on Wednesday afternoon as oil prices slid to a new five-year low after the OPEC oil producers' group cut its demand forecast for next year.

At 6:50 p.m., the ruble was down around 1.1 percent against the dollar at 54.65 and down 1.6 percent against the euro at 67.92, hitting a new all-time low against the euro-zone currency.

Global oil benchmark Brent was around 3 percent lower, below $65 a barrel, in late afternoon trading in Moscow.

"Oil is playing against the ruble, but on the other hand we are awaiting the Central Bank, which could unexpectedly 'give a thump on the head' with interventions," said Pyotr Neimyshev, a forex trader at bank Otkritie.

Oil and gas account for two-thirds of Russia's exports, so oil price swings have an important impact on the country's balance of payments and therefore the currency.

The ruble's latest fall was more restrained than in recent weeks, in part because the market expects the Central Bank to take decisive action to support the currency when it holds its next monetary policy meeting on Thursday.

A Reuters poll on Tuesday predicted that the bank would increase its main lending rate by one point to 10.5 percent on Thursday in a bid to help the ruble.

"The general feeling is that the CBR needs to come up with a sizable package of policy measures in order to address excessive FX volatility," Maxim Korovin, a forex analyst at VTB Capital bank, said in a note.

The Russian Central Bank said Wednesday that it had conducted $400 million worth of forex interventions on Monday, adding to $4.53 billion in interventions last week, despite floating the currency a month ago.

The dollar-denominated RTS share index was down 0.4 percent to 854 points on Wednesday, while its ruble-based peer MICEX was 0.6 percent higher at 1,483 points.

… we have a small favor to ask. As you may have heard, The Moscow Times, an independent news source for over 30 years, has been unjustly branded as a "foreign agent" by the Russian government. This blatant attempt to silence our voice is a direct assault on the integrity of journalism and the values we hold dear.

We, the journalists of The Moscow Times, refuse to be silenced. Our commitment to providing accurate and unbiased reporting on Russia remains unshaken. But we need your help to continue our critical mission.

Your support, no matter how small, makes a world of difference. If you can, please support us monthly starting from just $2. It's quick to set up, and you can be confident that you're making a significant impact every month by supporting open, independent journalism. Thank you.

paiment methods
Not ready to support today?
Remind me later.

Read more