Local Capital Sought in East
10 November 1994
By David Chance
LONDON -- Stock markets in central and eastern Europe will only grow if they encourage the development of local financial institutions, fund managers and bourse professionals told a recent conference on the region.
"These markets are beginning to be used to mobilize local savings, and we see them as countries where it won't necessarily be foreign capital that makes it happen," said Glenn Wellman, who manages the $197 million CS First Boston Central European Growth Fund.
Equity trading levels in the region have come off sharply from the peaks of last year as foreign hedge funds have targeted Russia, while domestic retail investors are reluctant to sell below the highs of 1993.
Wellmann said he expected share prices to recover once funds shifted from retail investors to institutions.
The region accounts for 2.6 percent of world stock exchanges' market capitalization, according to Peter Wall of the International Finance Corp.'s Emerging Markets Database. Eastern Europe "is one of the fastest growing areas of international trade and investment," Wall said, although he added, "It is experiencing growth from a very low base."
Wieslaw Rozlucki, the president of the Warsaw stock exchange, said the preponderance of retail investors had caused a large part of the recent volatility in Polish share prices.
The market, which rose 700 percent in 1993, has come off a high of 20,760 points in 1994 to 7,903 at Monday's close.
He said that although the number of trades was high, at 45,000 per day, the average amount was between $2,000 to $3,000.
"We feel the shortage of domestic investment funds is a bottleneck. The market cannot develop further based on retail investors," Rozlucki said.
Though foreign investment accounts for 25 percent of the Warsaw bourse's market capitalization, portfolio investment is only about 10 percent, he said.
Poland's WIG index, comprising 40 companies, is capitalized at about $3.4 billion. Poland, which is looking to sell 440 companies via a mass privatization scheme in 1995, is to set up 15 investment funds with foreign participation to absorb the new shares. This will increase equity market capitalization by $4 billion.
Poland's see-saw share market has also frightened off foreigners, said Michael Phair, an executive director of NM Rothschild, U.K.
He said the 13-fold rise in the share price of Bank Slaski between the pricing of the issue and the first day of trading was "clearly unsustainable" and noted that since then the bank had underperformed the WIG index by 30 percent.
"Most of these markets cannot take considerable amounts of stock at the moment. There needs to be an international tranche," Phair added.
CS First Boston's Wellman said that although privatizations had succeeded in transforming ownership of companies, they had not introduced real capital into the market. He expects Hungary to build on its two existing pension funds and mutual funds to be built up in Slovenia and Poland.
Rothschild's Phair is looking to the privatization of utilities to broaden share ownership in the Czech Republic and Poland. He noted that banks dominated the Polish market, with six stocks out of a total of 40, and accounting for one-third of market capitalization.
"Balance must be restored to the market and non-banking shares issued. The failure to privatize utilities is a missed opportunity for popular capitalism in Poland," Phair said.
"These markets are beginning to be used to mobilize local savings, and we see them as countries where it won't necessarily be foreign capital that makes it happen," said Glenn Wellman, who manages the $197 million CS First Boston Central European Growth Fund.
Equity trading levels in the region have come off sharply from the peaks of last year as foreign hedge funds have targeted Russia, while domestic retail investors are reluctant to sell below the highs of 1993.
Wellmann said he expected share prices to recover once funds shifted from retail investors to institutions.
The region accounts for 2.6 percent of world stock exchanges' market capitalization, according to Peter Wall of the International Finance Corp.'s Emerging Markets Database. Eastern Europe "is one of the fastest growing areas of international trade and investment," Wall said, although he added, "It is experiencing growth from a very low base."
Wieslaw Rozlucki, the president of the Warsaw stock exchange, said the preponderance of retail investors had caused a large part of the recent volatility in Polish share prices.
The market, which rose 700 percent in 1993, has come off a high of 20,760 points in 1994 to 7,903 at Monday's close.
He said that although the number of trades was high, at 45,000 per day, the average amount was between $2,000 to $3,000.
"We feel the shortage of domestic investment funds is a bottleneck. The market cannot develop further based on retail investors," Rozlucki said.
Though foreign investment accounts for 25 percent of the Warsaw bourse's market capitalization, portfolio investment is only about 10 percent, he said.
Poland's WIG index, comprising 40 companies, is capitalized at about $3.4 billion. Poland, which is looking to sell 440 companies via a mass privatization scheme in 1995, is to set up 15 investment funds with foreign participation to absorb the new shares. This will increase equity market capitalization by $4 billion.
Poland's see-saw share market has also frightened off foreigners, said Michael Phair, an executive director of NM Rothschild, U.K.
He said the 13-fold rise in the share price of Bank Slaski between the pricing of the issue and the first day of trading was "clearly unsustainable" and noted that since then the bank had underperformed the WIG index by 30 percent.
"Most of these markets cannot take considerable amounts of stock at the moment. There needs to be an international tranche," Phair added.
CS First Boston's Wellman said that although privatizations had succeeded in transforming ownership of companies, they had not introduced real capital into the market. He expects Hungary to build on its two existing pension funds and mutual funds to be built up in Slovenia and Poland.
Rothschild's Phair is looking to the privatization of utilities to broaden share ownership in the Czech Republic and Poland. He noted that banks dominated the Polish market, with six stocks out of a total of 40, and accounting for one-third of market capitalization.
"Balance must be restored to the market and non-banking shares issued. The failure to privatize utilities is a missed opportunity for popular capitalism in Poland," Phair said.
|
|
Tweet |
|
This article has no comments. Be the first to leave a comment |
Discussion
Comments
To post comments you must be registered
Comments via Facebook
Most Read
1.
Tabloid: Superjet Downed by U.S. Industrial Sabotage
A tabloid claims that Russian intelligence agencies are investigating the possibility that the U.S. military may have brought down the Sukhoi Superjet that crashed in Indonesia.
2.
Red Square Flyboy Regrets Air Stunt
When Mathias Rust landed his white Cessna on Red Square on May 28, 1987, he had placed all his hopes for world peace in Mikhail Gorbachev.
3.
Sweden Wins Eurovision; Grannies Take Second
Sweden’s Loreen won the Eurovision Song Contest in Azerbaijan on Sunday before an international TV audience of 100 million, days after angering Azeri authorities by meeting rights activists critical of the host country’s human rights record.
4.
Village Grannies Make It to Eurovision Finals
Russia's group Buranovskiye Babushki has made it into the finals of the Eurovision Song Contest in Baku, Azerbaijan, bringing the elderly folk singers from a far-off Russian village to the attention of more than 100 million viewers around the world.
5.
Protest and Chaos Seen in Kudrin-Ordered Study
Continued protests in Russia will likely lead to violence or chaotic change, according to a new study ordered by the former finance minister.
6.
Ukraine in Uproar Over Status of Russian Language
Ukraine's ruling party has triggered violent protests with a move to upgrade the official role of Russian, a sensitive issue opponents say will split the country.
7.
150 Detained at Anti-Kremlin Rallies
About 150 people were detained Sunday as scores of people gathered for a series of anti-government demonstrations in Moscow and St. Petersburg.
8.
Tensions Rise as Opposition Leaders are Freed
Sergei Udaltsov and Alexei Navalny emerged from prison Thursday, while a dramatic standoff erupted at a State Duma hearing over a bill that would hike fines for illegal demonstrations.
9.
McFaul Faces Kremlin Scorn Once Again
The Foreign Ministry assailed U.S. Ambassador Michael McFaul for comments he made to students last week, saying the ministry was "utterly shocked" and that McFaul's remarks went "far beyond the bounds of diplomatic etiquette."
10.
More Public Figures Accused of Flouting Road Rules
Following the president's order to cut the number of officials entitled to use flashing lights to skirt through traffic, several incidents of alleged abuse involving high-profile figures have come to light.
1.
Hundreds of Arrests Set Grim Backdrop for Victory Day Celebrations
As Moscow gears up to celebrate its victory in World War II, 67 years ago Wednesday, the shadow of political conflict shrouds the capital as hundreds of arrests cloud Victory Day festivities.
2.
Russian Satellite Takes Highest-Ever Resolution Picture of Earth
A stunning 121-megapixel snapshot of the Earth was taken by a Russian weather satellite in what is thought to be the highest resolution picture of the planet ever taken from space.
3.
Bodies, No Survivors Spotted at Superjet Crash
Search and rescue helicopters and volunteers struggling through thick forest and mountainous terrain spotted bodies but no survivors on the Indonesian mountainside where a Sukhoi Superjet 100 crashed by the time darkness forced an end to the search Thursday night.
4.
Mysterious Photos Reveal an Unseen WWII
After the end of World War II, Paul Sadler returned home to Chicago with three German books and a photo album from the Dachau concentration camp.
5.
Tabloid: Superjet Downed by U.S. Industrial Sabotage
A tabloid claims that Russian intelligence agencies are investigating the possibility that the U.S. military may have brought down the Sukhoi Superjet that crashed in Indonesia.
6.
Furniture Magnate Shot Dead in Mercedes in Moscow Region
A 46-year-old furniture magnate was killed with six gunshot wounds to the head and chest early Sunday as he arrived in his Mercedes at his home in the Moscow region.
7.
Vladivostok Bridge Climbers Fined 300 Rubles Each
Three thrill-seekers who climbed two Vladivostok bridges earlier this week and took photos from the top were fined 300 rubles ($10) each for trespassing.
8.
New Cabinet Has Familiar Cast of Characters
President Vladimir Putin on Monday announced the makeup of the new Cabinet answering to Putin and Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev, with three-fourths of the members having been replaced.
9.
Superjet Missing in Indonesia With 50 on Board
A dark cloud was cast Wednesday on the revival of Russia’s aviation industry when a Sukhoi-built Superjet 100 with 50 people on board disappeared from the radar screens of Indonesian flight controllers.
10.
Why Putin's Days Are Numbered
On Monday, Vladimir Putin will take the presidential oath of office for the third time. After 12 years in power, Putin has increased his control over the country's major institutions, the siloviki and state bureaucracy.


