Economy: Neglect Is Dangerous
23 October 1992
Editorial
Each week the numbers grow more ominous. The ruble drops precipitously, hovers and then continues its mercurial decline. Inflation is headed out of control, with one Western academic estimating it is raging at a rate equal to 14, 000 percent annually. Production is plummeting and unemployment, according to a study by the International Labor Organization, is set to reach crisis proportions.
But in their political cocoons, the government, the parliament and the foreign institutions capable of assisting Russia seem to have lost sight of the dimensions of the problem.
President Yeltsin spends time fighting with Mikhail Gorbachev; the parliament seems more interested in bringing down the government than in dealing honestly with the multitude of economic problems facing the country.
Russia is not getting a good example from the industrialized democracies. The Paris Club continues to debate the rescheduling of former Soviet debts, an issue that should have been decided long ago. The governments cannot agree amongst themselves on a unified approach.
The International Monetary Fund, which represents the combined interests of the industrialized democracies, seems to sit back in the shadows of this debate, declining to become publicly involved in the economic direction of the country or to make public its timetables and criteria for the granting of its aid, which would be useful to the proponents of reform. That there is a problem is illustrated by the fact that the first $1 billion of stand-by credits is still untouched; the IMF should see to it that this money gets used.
The West often seems to forget that Russia is still a heavily armed nuclear power. and in the West, as in Russia, political considerations are obscuring the need for action on the most dangerous economic crisis the world has seen in many years.
It is well past time for a unified response from the government, the parliament and the wealthy nations. Let it begin with a policy to halt the credit emissions before inflation soars any higher and with a firm commitment to let market forces take the lead.
The IMF should find a way to deliver its aid, even if that means bringing over an army of accountants to help the Russians administer it. The West should set a concrete timetable for the rescheduling of the debt, and stick to it. The Paris Club should step forward with a generous extension of time for repayment of the former Soviet debt or, at the very least, a fixed period for resolving the issue.
With a hard winter coming, it is time for a serious warming to reality.
But in their political cocoons, the government, the parliament and the foreign institutions capable of assisting Russia seem to have lost sight of the dimensions of the problem.
President Yeltsin spends time fighting with Mikhail Gorbachev; the parliament seems more interested in bringing down the government than in dealing honestly with the multitude of economic problems facing the country.
Russia is not getting a good example from the industrialized democracies. The Paris Club continues to debate the rescheduling of former Soviet debts, an issue that should have been decided long ago. The governments cannot agree amongst themselves on a unified approach.
The International Monetary Fund, which represents the combined interests of the industrialized democracies, seems to sit back in the shadows of this debate, declining to become publicly involved in the economic direction of the country or to make public its timetables and criteria for the granting of its aid, which would be useful to the proponents of reform. That there is a problem is illustrated by the fact that the first $1 billion of stand-by credits is still untouched; the IMF should see to it that this money gets used.
The West often seems to forget that Russia is still a heavily armed nuclear power. and in the West, as in Russia, political considerations are obscuring the need for action on the most dangerous economic crisis the world has seen in many years.
It is well past time for a unified response from the government, the parliament and the wealthy nations. Let it begin with a policy to halt the credit emissions before inflation soars any higher and with a firm commitment to let market forces take the lead.
The IMF should find a way to deliver its aid, even if that means bringing over an army of accountants to help the Russians administer it. The West should set a concrete timetable for the rescheduling of the debt, and stick to it. The Paris Club should step forward with a generous extension of time for repayment of the former Soviet debt or, at the very least, a fixed period for resolving the issue.
With a hard winter coming, it is time for a serious warming to reality.
|
|
Tweet |
|
This article has no comments. Be the first to leave a comment |
Discussion
Comments
To post comments you must be registered
Comments via Facebook
Most Read
1.
McFaul Faces Kremlin Scorn Once Again
The Foreign Ministry assailed U.S. Ambassador Michael McFaul for comments the ministry said went "far beyond the bounds of diplomatic etiquette."
2.
Radio Journalist Stabbed Outside Apartment Building
A journalist for Mayak radio was clinging to life Tuesday after being stabbed outside his apartment building by an unknown attacker.
3.
Berezovsky Investigated for Inciting 'Mass Disorder'
The Investigative Committee has opened an inquiry against self-exiled businessman Boris Berezovsky, who recently pledged a $1.5 million bounty for the arrest of Vladimir Putin.
4.
Chernobyl Horror Film Called Disrespectful, A Joke
Horror film "Chernobyl Diaries," with its ghostly tale of terror near the infamous, abandoned nuclear plant hits theaters after protests that it sensationalizes a disaster that had tragic human consequences.
5.
Suspect Detained in Killing of Furniture Magnate
An alleged organizer of a murder of Russian furniture magnate Mikhail Kravchenko has been detained in the Moscow region.
6.
The Nixon Option for Iran
Boldness of the sort displayed by U.S. President Richard Nixon in opening discussions with China is needed now in the negotiations over Iran's nuclear program.
7.
Ukraine's Behavior in WTO Has Negotiators Scratching Their Heads
Laos, a small nation dependent on aid and rice farming, wants to join the World Trade Organization. WTO powers including the United States, China and the European Union want it to.
8.
$13.4Bln Football Bill Puts Ukraine in the Hole
Ukraine may never recover all of the billions of dollars it has spent to co-host next month's European football championship, and the outlay might complicate its chances of servicing its debt.
9.
Rockets to Disperse Euro Rain Clouds
Ukraine is planning to fire rockets to break up rain clouds if bad weather threatens to upset football matches during next month's Euro 2012 tournament.
10.
Russky Island Getting Posh on Schedule
After global leaders conclude the annual Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum in September, the purpose-built $2.3 billion conference center on a remote island off the coast of Vladivostok will become a university.
1.
Tabloid: Superjet Downed by U.S. Industrial Sabotage
A tabloid claims that Russian intelligence agencies are investigating the possibility that the U.S. military may have brought down the Sukhoi Superjet that crashed in Indonesia.
2.
Red Square Flyboy Regrets Air Stunt
When Mathias Rust landed his white Cessna on Red Square on May 28, 1987, he had placed all his hopes for world peace in Mikhail Gorbachev.
3.
Sweden Wins Eurovision; Grannies Take Second
Sweden’s Loreen won the Eurovision Song Contest in Azerbaijan on Sunday before an international TV audience of 100 million, days after angering Azeri authorities by meeting rights activists critical of the host country’s human rights record.
4.
Village Grannies Make It to Eurovision Finals
Russia's group Buranovskiye Babushki has made it into the finals of the Eurovision Song Contest in Baku, Azerbaijan, bringing the elderly folk singers from a far-off Russian village to the attention of more than 100 million viewers around the world.
5.
McFaul Faces Kremlin Scorn Once Again
The Foreign Ministry assailed U.S. Ambassador Michael McFaul for comments the ministry said went "far beyond the bounds of diplomatic etiquette."
6.
Protest and Chaos Seen in Kudrin-Ordered Study
Continued protests in Russia will likely lead to violence or chaotic change, according to a new study ordered by the former finance minister.
7.
Ukraine in Uproar Over Status of Russian Language
Ukraine's ruling party has triggered violent protests with a move to upgrade the official role of Russian, a sensitive issue opponents say will split the country.
8.
150 Detained at Anti-Kremlin Rallies
About 150 people were detained Sunday as scores of people gathered for a series of anti-government demonstrations in Moscow and St. Petersburg.
9.
Tensions Rise as Opposition Leaders are Freed
Sergei Udaltsov and Alexei Navalny emerged from prison Thursday, while a dramatic standoff erupted at a State Duma hearing over a bill that would hike fines for illegal demonstrations.
10.
More Public Figures Accused of Flouting Road Rules
Following the president's order to cut the number of officials entitled to use flashing lights to skirt through traffic, several incidents of alleged abuse involving high-profile figures have come to light.
1.
Hundreds of Arrests Set Grim Backdrop for Victory Day Celebrations
As Moscow gears up to celebrate its victory in World War II, 67 years ago Wednesday, the shadow of political conflict shrouds the capital as hundreds of arrests cloud Victory Day festivities.
2.
Russian Satellite Takes Highest-Ever Resolution Picture of Earth
A stunning 121-megapixel snapshot of the Earth was taken by a Russian weather satellite in what is thought to be the highest resolution picture of the planet ever taken from space.
3.
Bodies, No Survivors Spotted at Superjet Crash
Search and rescue helicopters and volunteers struggling through thick forest and mountainous terrain spotted bodies but no survivors on the Indonesian mountainside where a Sukhoi Superjet 100 crashed by the time darkness forced an end to the search Thursday night.
4.
Mysterious Photos Reveal an Unseen WWII
After the end of World War II, Paul Sadler returned home to Chicago with three German books and a photo album from the Dachau concentration camp.
5.
Tabloid: Superjet Downed by U.S. Industrial Sabotage
A tabloid claims that Russian intelligence agencies are investigating the possibility that the U.S. military may have brought down the Sukhoi Superjet that crashed in Indonesia.
6.
Furniture Magnate Shot Dead in Mercedes in Moscow Region
A 46-year-old furniture magnate was killed with six gunshot wounds to the head and chest early Sunday as he arrived in his Mercedes at his home in the Moscow region.
7.
Vladivostok Bridge Climbers Fined 300 Rubles Each
Three thrill-seekers who climbed two Vladivostok bridges earlier this week and took photos from the top were fined 300 rubles ($10) each for trespassing.
8.
New Cabinet Has Familiar Cast of Characters
President Vladimir Putin on Monday announced the makeup of the new Cabinet answering to Putin and Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev, with three-fourths of the members having been replaced.
9.
Superjet Missing in Indonesia With 50 on Board
A dark cloud was cast Wednesday on the revival of Russia’s aviation industry when a Sukhoi-built Superjet 100 with 50 people on board disappeared from the radar screens of Indonesian flight controllers.
10.
Why Putin's Days Are Numbered
On Monday, Vladimir Putin will take the presidential oath of office for the third time. After 12 years in power, Putin has increased his control over the country's major institutions, the siloviki and state bureaucracy.


