Markets Lose Steam After St. Pete Bump
16 June 2008
As Russia's business and political elite wound up their weekend gathering in St. Petersburg, the local markets received a short-term lift, but wider concerns over global inflation lingered through the week.
Russian bourses shrugged off global worries Monday, with investors chewing on the prospect of Svyazinvest's privatization and positive noises from the government on the protection of property rights and an improved legal system.
Regional telecoms, the chief beneficiaries of a Svyazinvest privatization, soared Monday, after Svyazinvest chief Alexander Kiselyov said the holding should be privatized over the next year.
Sibirtelecom rose 7.6 percent Monday, while Volga Telecom ticked up 6.4 percent and increased by 5.3 percent.
But the "decoupling," short-lived as it was, was chiefly down to the St. Petersburg forum news flow, analysts said.
Commodity prices and inflationary concerns swung back up to the top of investors' minds, as the International Energy Agency forecast a slowdown in demand for oil for 2008. That, combined with a strengthening in the dollar, pushed oil down. On Friday, crude oil for July delivery closed at $134.86 per barrel in New York, 2.7 percent down on the week. Gold futures for August closed Friday at $873.10 in New York, down 2.9 percent on the week.
The dollar had its strongest week against the euro since 2005, climbing 2.6 percent as traders speculated that the U.S. Federal Reserve would raise borrowing costs this year.
Signs of further interest rate hikes in Europe to combat inflation, combined with the hawkish language from Federal Reserve chief Bernard Bernanke, indicate a coordinated campaign to tackle inflation rather than prop up growth, Alfa Bank strategist Erik DePoy said.
"Rising interest rates are never good for equities," DePoy said. "It's just a matter of time before we could see some serious selling. This correction [we've been expecting] hasn't really happened."
Oil stocks led the decline in Russia on Tuesday, with dropping 1.3 percent on MICEX.
Steel companies also fell, with foreign-listed shares of Evraz ending the week down 3.3 percent in London, and down by 7 percent in New York amid jitters over possible higher taxation in the steel sector.
A Tuesday meeting between Industry and Trade Minister Viktor Khristenko and representatives from the steel industry on the issue of taxation reached no conclusion, giving some relief to steel stocks on Russian markets Wednesday, with NLMK leading the way.
Both markets closed up on the short three-day week on light trading ahead of the Russia Day holiday, with the RTS nudging up 0.6 percent to 2,356.71 points, while the MICEX was up 0.8 percent to 1,826.67 points.
But the markets remain volatile in the present macroeconomic environment, some analysts warned.
"My instinct says, be very cautious in the current market," DePoy said.
Russian bourses shrugged off global worries Monday, with investors chewing on the prospect of Svyazinvest's privatization and positive noises from the government on the protection of property rights and an improved legal system.
Regional telecoms, the chief beneficiaries of a Svyazinvest privatization, soared Monday, after Svyazinvest chief Alexander Kiselyov said the holding should be privatized over the next year.
Sibirtelecom rose 7.6 percent Monday, while Volga Telecom ticked up 6.4 percent and increased by 5.3 percent.
But the "decoupling," short-lived as it was, was chiefly down to the St. Petersburg forum news flow, analysts said.
Commodity prices and inflationary concerns swung back up to the top of investors' minds, as the International Energy Agency forecast a slowdown in demand for oil for 2008. That, combined with a strengthening in the dollar, pushed oil down. On Friday, crude oil for July delivery closed at $134.86 per barrel in New York, 2.7 percent down on the week. Gold futures for August closed Friday at $873.10 in New York, down 2.9 percent on the week.
The dollar had its strongest week against the euro since 2005, climbing 2.6 percent as traders speculated that the U.S. Federal Reserve would raise borrowing costs this year.
Signs of further interest rate hikes in Europe to combat inflation, combined with the hawkish language from Federal Reserve chief Bernard Bernanke, indicate a coordinated campaign to tackle inflation rather than prop up growth, Alfa Bank strategist Erik DePoy said.
"Rising interest rates are never good for equities," DePoy said. "It's just a matter of time before we could see some serious selling. This correction [we've been expecting] hasn't really happened."
Oil stocks led the decline in Russia on Tuesday, with dropping 1.3 percent on MICEX.
Steel companies also fell, with foreign-listed shares of Evraz ending the week down 3.3 percent in London, and down by 7 percent in New York amid jitters over possible higher taxation in the steel sector.
A Tuesday meeting between Industry and Trade Minister Viktor Khristenko and representatives from the steel industry on the issue of taxation reached no conclusion, giving some relief to steel stocks on Russian markets Wednesday, with NLMK leading the way.
Both markets closed up on the short three-day week on light trading ahead of the Russia Day holiday, with the RTS nudging up 0.6 percent to 2,356.71 points, while the MICEX was up 0.8 percent to 1,826.67 points.
But the markets remain volatile in the present macroeconomic environment, some analysts warned.
"My instinct says, be very cautious in the current market," DePoy said.
|
|
Tweet |
|
This article has no comments. Be the first to leave a comment |
Discussion
Comments
To post comments you must be registered
Comments via Facebook
Most Read
1.
Tabloid: Superjet Downed by U.S. Industrial Sabotage
A tabloid claims that Russian intelligence agencies are investigating the possibility that the U.S. military may have brought down the Sukhoi Superjet that crashed in Indonesia.
2.
Red Square Flyboy Regrets Air Stunt
When Mathias Rust landed his white Cessna on Red Square on May 28, 1987, he had placed all his hopes for world peace in Mikhail Gorbachev.
3.
Protest and Chaos Seen in Kudrin-Ordered Study
Continued protests in Russia will likely lead to violence or chaotic change, according to a new study ordered by the former finance minister.
4.
Tensions Rise as Opposition Leaders are Freed
Sergei Udaltsov and Alexei Navalny emerged from prison Thursday, while a dramatic standoff erupted at a State Duma hearing over a bill that would hike fines for illegal demonstrations.
5.
More Public Figures Accused of Flouting Road Rules
Following the president's order to cut the number of officials entitled to use flashing lights to skirt through traffic, several incidents of alleged abuse involving high-profile figures have come to light.
6.
Japanese Diplomat to Visit After Motorcycle Tourist Murdered in Siberia
A Japanese diplomat will travel to Chita on Thursday from the Khabarovsk consulate in response to the murder of a Japanese tourist who was traveling across Russia on a motorcycle.
7.
Medvedev Chats With U.S. Cowboys
Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev paid a visit Wednesday to a Bryansk region farm that has imported cattle from the U.S. and also some American cowboys to help the Russians develop their struggling meat industry.
8.
Polar Bear Bites Off Fingers of Khabarovsk Zoo Visitor
A polar bear bit off two fingers of a woman attempting to feed it at a zoo in a suburb of the Far East city of Khabarovsk.
9.
Initiative Brings Khamatova Joy and Frustration
The Soviet maxim "initiative is punishable" is only half true for actress Chulpan Khamatova.
10.
Russia's New Propaganda Minister
After Monday's announcement that historian Vladimir Medinsky was appointed the culture minister, critics quickly labeled him the new propaganda minister. Medinsky's academic ethics and historical distortions may raise serious questions, but for the Kremlin, he has three important attributes that are much more important: He is a model United Russia leader, a firm Putin loyalist and a skilled sophist.
1.
Tabloid: Superjet Downed by U.S. Industrial Sabotage
A tabloid claims that Russian intelligence agencies are investigating the possibility that the U.S. military may have brought down the Sukhoi Superjet that crashed in Indonesia.
2.
Furniture Magnate Shot Dead in Mercedes in Moscow Region
A 46-year-old furniture magnate was killed with six gunshot wounds to the head and chest early Sunday as he arrived in his Mercedes at his home in the Moscow region.
3.
New Cabinet Has Familiar Cast of Characters
President Vladimir Putin on Monday announced the makeup of the new Cabinet answering to Putin and Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev, with three-fourths of the members having been replaced.
4.
Will Smith Slaps Man for Trying to Kiss Him
Love can take over, overwhelm the senses and cause a person to act unceremoniously.
5.
Red Square Flyboy Regrets Air Stunt
When Mathias Rust landed his white Cessna on Red Square on May 28, 1987, he had placed all his hopes for world peace in Mikhail Gorbachev.
6.
Village Grannies Make It to Eurovision Finals
Russia's group Buranovskiye Babushki has made it into the finals of the Eurovision Song Contest in Baku, Azerbaijan, bringing the elderly folk singers from a far-off Russian village to the attention of more than 100 million viewers around the world.
7.
Medvedev Meets With Obama at G8 Summit
Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev insisted that the “reset” was still on during a meeting with U.S. President Barack Obama on the sidelines of a weekend G8 summit at Camp David.
8.
Protest and Chaos Seen in Kudrin-Ordered Study
Continued protests in Russia will likely lead to violence or chaotic change, according to a new study ordered by the former finance minister.
9.
Cabinet Appointments Complicated by Unwillingness
Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev is not having an easy time forming a Cabinet, as many of those he invited did not want to work in the government.
10.
Chelsea Is the Luckiest Team in Football
Lots of money, lots of luck and players who didn't care about winning ugly, just so long as they won, turned Chelsea into the champions of Europe Saturday night.
1.
Hundreds of Arrests Set Grim Backdrop for Victory Day Celebrations
As Moscow gears up to celebrate its victory in World War II, 67 years ago Wednesday, the shadow of political conflict shrouds the capital as hundreds of arrests cloud Victory Day festivities.
2.
Russian Satellite Takes Highest-Ever Resolution Picture of Earth
A stunning 121-megapixel snapshot of the Earth was taken by a Russian weather satellite in what is thought to be the highest resolution picture of the planet ever taken from space.
3.
Bodies, No Survivors Spotted at Superjet Crash
Search and rescue helicopters and volunteers struggling through thick forest and mountainous terrain spotted bodies but no survivors on the Indonesian mountainside where a Sukhoi Superjet 100 crashed by the time darkness forced an end to the search Thursday night.
4.
Mysterious Photos Reveal an Unseen WWII
After the end of World War II, Paul Sadler returned home to Chicago with three German books and a photo album from the Dachau concentration camp.
5.
Green Fog Blanketing Moscow Recedes
Moscow’s sky was back to normal Friday after a mysterious green cloud that descended on part of the city and prompted emergency calls from residents fearing a chemical spill had dissipated.
6.
Tabloid: Superjet Downed by U.S. Industrial Sabotage
A tabloid claims that Russian intelligence agencies are investigating the possibility that the U.S. military may have brought down the Sukhoi Superjet that crashed in Indonesia.
7.
Furniture Magnate Shot Dead in Mercedes in Moscow Region
A 46-year-old furniture magnate was killed with six gunshot wounds to the head and chest early Sunday as he arrived in his Mercedes at his home in the Moscow region.
8.
Vladivostok Bridge Climbers Fined 300 Rubles Each
Three thrill-seekers who climbed two Vladivostok bridges earlier this week and took photos from the top were fined 300 rubles ($10) each for trespassing.
9.
New Cabinet Has Familiar Cast of Characters
President Vladimir Putin on Monday announced the makeup of the new Cabinet answering to Putin and Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev, with three-fourths of the members having been replaced.
10.
Superjet Missing in Indonesia With 50 on Board
A dark cloud was cast Wednesday on the revival of Russia’s aviation industry when a Sukhoi-built Superjet 100 with 50 people on board disappeared from the radar screens of Indonesian flight controllers.


