European Echoes Reach Russia
05 October 1992
Events last week in Moscow and Europe, from the fall of the ruble to the pummeling of the pound, show that the Russian government is no very far behind its Western counter parts when its comes to governmental squabbles.
The ruble took another nosedive Thursday at the Moscow Interbank
Currency Exchange, dropping to 309 to the dollar from 254, as the chorus for acting Prime Minister Yegor Gaidar's resignation grew louder.
It is a familiar refrain for the British chancellor of the exchequer, Norman Lament, who has presided over sterling's devaluation despite his pledge to hold the line. He seemed like a man who would be looking for a new vocation as the markets closed Friday and there were calls for him to step down.
The fall of the ruble reignited the bickering between the Gaidar government and the Russian Central Bank over who was responsible. The Central Bank charged that the government was spending indiscriminately; the government shot back that the Central Bank was wantonly printing rubles.
All of this sounded a lot like the inter-European wrangling that went on last week between Britain and Germany over who was responsible for the pound's demise.
Britain has blamed Germany for its high interest rates. And, in a charge that sounded like a child accusing a parent of favoritism, the British Treasury complained that the German Bundesbank had intervened on behalf of the French franc but left the pound to languish.
Germany denied the charge and defended itself in a letter to the British Treasury, which became public. This rejuvenated the row between the two governments and led to a squabble between the Bundesbank and the German government over who made the letter public in the first place.
The German government, meanwhile, has been calling for lower interest rates while the Bundesbank, for fear of inflation, has refused.
As for the fate of the ruble, statements from officials of the exchange and Central Bank indicate it could get worse. Sergei Osenmuk, deputy director of the Moscow currency exchange, says that ruble holders have lost all confidence in the currency.
"People will buy dollars at any price", he said.
New details of the Central Bank's ruble intervention strategy, meanwhile, show that its purpose is not to prop up the currency.
Rather, said Alexander Potyomkin, head of the bank's hard-currency division, the Central Bank intervenes to bolster confidence in the exchange, not the currency. The bank infuses dollars to convince ruble holders that no matter how bad it gets, they will always be able to trade their dollars for rubles.
This, of course, indirectly props up the ruble, to the extent that it staves off a rush on the exchange, or forces it to close down early, as happened recently in St. Petersburg, for lack of dollars.
But it means that, unlike Lament's claim that he would defend the pound at a certain rate against the Deutsche mark, which did not work anyway, the Russian Central Bank has drawn no such Maginot Line for the ruble.
Free marketeers should cheer this laissez-faire strategy, but one wonders how long the Russian public will tolerate the deterioration of its currency. The British have already shown far less patience.
The ruble took another nosedive Thursday at the Moscow Interbank
Currency Exchange, dropping to 309 to the dollar from 254, as the chorus for acting Prime Minister Yegor Gaidar's resignation grew louder.
It is a familiar refrain for the British chancellor of the exchequer, Norman Lament, who has presided over sterling's devaluation despite his pledge to hold the line. He seemed like a man who would be looking for a new vocation as the markets closed Friday and there were calls for him to step down.
The fall of the ruble reignited the bickering between the Gaidar government and the Russian Central Bank over who was responsible. The Central Bank charged that the government was spending indiscriminately; the government shot back that the Central Bank was wantonly printing rubles.
All of this sounded a lot like the inter-European wrangling that went on last week between Britain and Germany over who was responsible for the pound's demise.
Britain has blamed Germany for its high interest rates. And, in a charge that sounded like a child accusing a parent of favoritism, the British Treasury complained that the German Bundesbank had intervened on behalf of the French franc but left the pound to languish.
Germany denied the charge and defended itself in a letter to the British Treasury, which became public. This rejuvenated the row between the two governments and led to a squabble between the Bundesbank and the German government over who made the letter public in the first place.
The German government, meanwhile, has been calling for lower interest rates while the Bundesbank, for fear of inflation, has refused.
As for the fate of the ruble, statements from officials of the exchange and Central Bank indicate it could get worse. Sergei Osenmuk, deputy director of the Moscow currency exchange, says that ruble holders have lost all confidence in the currency.
"People will buy dollars at any price", he said.
New details of the Central Bank's ruble intervention strategy, meanwhile, show that its purpose is not to prop up the currency.
Rather, said Alexander Potyomkin, head of the bank's hard-currency division, the Central Bank intervenes to bolster confidence in the exchange, not the currency. The bank infuses dollars to convince ruble holders that no matter how bad it gets, they will always be able to trade their dollars for rubles.
This, of course, indirectly props up the ruble, to the extent that it staves off a rush on the exchange, or forces it to close down early, as happened recently in St. Petersburg, for lack of dollars.
But it means that, unlike Lament's claim that he would defend the pound at a certain rate against the Deutsche mark, which did not work anyway, the Russian Central Bank has drawn no such Maginot Line for the ruble.
Free marketeers should cheer this laissez-faire strategy, but one wonders how long the Russian public will tolerate the deterioration of its currency. The British have already shown far less patience.
|
|
Tweet |
|
This article has no comments. Be the first to leave a comment |
Discussion
Comments
To post comments you must be registered
Comments via Facebook
Most Read
1.
McFaul Faces Kremlin Scorn Once Again
The Foreign Ministry assailed U.S. Ambassador Michael McFaul for comments the ministry said went "far beyond the bounds of diplomatic etiquette."
2.
Radio Journalist Stabbed Outside Apartment Building
A journalist for Mayak radio was clinging to life Tuesday after being stabbed outside his apartment building by an unknown attacker.
3.
Berezovsky Investigated for Inciting 'Mass Disorder'
The Investigative Committee has opened an inquiry against self-exiled businessman Boris Berezovsky, who recently pledged a $1.5 million bounty for the arrest of Vladimir Putin.
4.
Chernobyl Horror Film Called Disrespectful, A Joke
Horror film "Chernobyl Diaries," with its ghostly tale of terror near the infamous, abandoned nuclear plant hits theaters after protests that it sensationalizes a disaster that had tragic human consequences.
5.
Suspect Detained in Killing of Furniture Magnate
An alleged organizer of a murder of Russian furniture magnate Mikhail Kravchenko has been detained in the Moscow region.
6.
The Nixon Option for Iran
Boldness of the sort displayed by U.S. President Richard Nixon in opening discussions with China is needed now in the negotiations over Iran's nuclear program.
7.
Ukraine's Behavior in WTO Has Negotiators Scratching Their Heads
Laos, a small nation dependent on aid and rice farming, wants to join the World Trade Organization. WTO powers including the United States, China and the European Union want it to.
8.
$13.4Bln Football Bill Puts Ukraine in the Hole
Ukraine may never recover all of the billions of dollars it has spent to co-host next month's European football championship, and the outlay might complicate its chances of servicing its debt.
9.
Rockets to Disperse Euro Rain Clouds
Ukraine is planning to fire rockets to break up rain clouds if bad weather threatens to upset football matches during next month's Euro 2012 tournament.
10.
Russky Island Getting Posh on Schedule
After global leaders conclude the annual Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum in September, the purpose-built $2.3 billion conference center on a remote island off the coast of Vladivostok will become a university.
1.
Tabloid: Superjet Downed by U.S. Industrial Sabotage
A tabloid claims that Russian intelligence agencies are investigating the possibility that the U.S. military may have brought down the Sukhoi Superjet that crashed in Indonesia.
2.
Red Square Flyboy Regrets Air Stunt
When Mathias Rust landed his white Cessna on Red Square on May 28, 1987, he had placed all his hopes for world peace in Mikhail Gorbachev.
3.
Sweden Wins Eurovision; Grannies Take Second
Sweden’s Loreen won the Eurovision Song Contest in Azerbaijan on Sunday before an international TV audience of 100 million, days after angering Azeri authorities by meeting rights activists critical of the host country’s human rights record.
4.
Village Grannies Make It to Eurovision Finals
Russia's group Buranovskiye Babushki has made it into the finals of the Eurovision Song Contest in Baku, Azerbaijan, bringing the elderly folk singers from a far-off Russian village to the attention of more than 100 million viewers around the world.
5.
McFaul Faces Kremlin Scorn Once Again
The Foreign Ministry assailed U.S. Ambassador Michael McFaul for comments the ministry said went "far beyond the bounds of diplomatic etiquette."
6.
Protest and Chaos Seen in Kudrin-Ordered Study
Continued protests in Russia will likely lead to violence or chaotic change, according to a new study ordered by the former finance minister.
7.
Ukraine in Uproar Over Status of Russian Language
Ukraine's ruling party has triggered violent protests with a move to upgrade the official role of Russian, a sensitive issue opponents say will split the country.
8.
150 Detained at Anti-Kremlin Rallies
About 150 people were detained Sunday as scores of people gathered for a series of anti-government demonstrations in Moscow and St. Petersburg.
9.
Tensions Rise as Opposition Leaders are Freed
Sergei Udaltsov and Alexei Navalny emerged from prison Thursday, while a dramatic standoff erupted at a State Duma hearing over a bill that would hike fines for illegal demonstrations.
10.
More Public Figures Accused of Flouting Road Rules
Following the president's order to cut the number of officials entitled to use flashing lights to skirt through traffic, several incidents of alleged abuse involving high-profile figures have come to light.
1.
Hundreds of Arrests Set Grim Backdrop for Victory Day Celebrations
As Moscow gears up to celebrate its victory in World War II, 67 years ago Wednesday, the shadow of political conflict shrouds the capital as hundreds of arrests cloud Victory Day festivities.
2.
Russian Satellite Takes Highest-Ever Resolution Picture of Earth
A stunning 121-megapixel snapshot of the Earth was taken by a Russian weather satellite in what is thought to be the highest resolution picture of the planet ever taken from space.
3.
Bodies, No Survivors Spotted at Superjet Crash
Search and rescue helicopters and volunteers struggling through thick forest and mountainous terrain spotted bodies but no survivors on the Indonesian mountainside where a Sukhoi Superjet 100 crashed by the time darkness forced an end to the search Thursday night.
4.
Mysterious Photos Reveal an Unseen WWII
After the end of World War II, Paul Sadler returned home to Chicago with three German books and a photo album from the Dachau concentration camp.
5.
Tabloid: Superjet Downed by U.S. Industrial Sabotage
A tabloid claims that Russian intelligence agencies are investigating the possibility that the U.S. military may have brought down the Sukhoi Superjet that crashed in Indonesia.
6.
Furniture Magnate Shot Dead in Mercedes in Moscow Region
A 46-year-old furniture magnate was killed with six gunshot wounds to the head and chest early Sunday as he arrived in his Mercedes at his home in the Moscow region.
7.
Vladivostok Bridge Climbers Fined 300 Rubles Each
Three thrill-seekers who climbed two Vladivostok bridges earlier this week and took photos from the top were fined 300 rubles ($10) each for trespassing.
8.
New Cabinet Has Familiar Cast of Characters
President Vladimir Putin on Monday announced the makeup of the new Cabinet answering to Putin and Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev, with three-fourths of the members having been replaced.
9.
Superjet Missing in Indonesia With 50 on Board
A dark cloud was cast Wednesday on the revival of Russia’s aviation industry when a Sukhoi-built Superjet 100 with 50 people on board disappeared from the radar screens of Indonesian flight controllers.
10.
Why Putin's Days Are Numbered
On Monday, Vladimir Putin will take the presidential oath of office for the third time. After 12 years in power, Putin has increased his control over the country's major institutions, the siloviki and state bureaucracy.


