Install

Get the latest updates as we post them — right on your browser

Today's paper. Last Updated: 06/01/2012

New Role For Russia in Diplomacy

Whatever jealousies may have been aroused by Russia's new, high profile in settling the conflict in former Yugoslavia, one thing is clear: In the course of a few weeks, the combination of an aggressive NATO and a fully engaged Russia have achieved more for peace in Bosnia than two years of negotiations.In announcements by the U.S. State Department and NATO, one can hear the tone of irritation at Moscow's diplomatic coups in securing a Bosnian Serb withdrawal from Sarajevo and getting Serb agreement to open the airport at Tuzla. Both successes appeared to ride on the back of NATO's get-tough policies and to steal its thunder.But these are petty jealousies. Russia has played an indispensible role by giving the Serbs a way out of their tight corner. The aim of the United Nations, after all, is to achieve a workable peace in Bosnia, not to defeat the Bosnian Serbs. That task would require a far greater commitment in blood and money than the West is ready to make.


Whether NATO leaders like it or not, Russia's diplomatic intervention has allowed the Western alliance to achieve its goals at virtually no cost.


For the government in Moscow, too, Vitaly Churkin's successes in Bosnia have had a tremendous payoff. For the Kremlin is, perhaps for the first time since August 1991, seen to be vigorously pursuing Russia's interests abroad. That has stolen much of the nationalist platform away from people like Vladimir Zhirinovsky.


Russia's recent announcement that it is planning to join NATO's Partnership for Peace program also signals that Russia, while insisting on being included as a major player in international security matters, does not want to do this in competition with the Western powers.


But all sides should be on notice that in they have been lucky so far. The United States and NATO have emerged as the unembarassed defenders of Bosnian Moslems over the past month, while Russia has taken up the corner of Bosnia's Serbs. Until now this dynamic has been a success, but it is fraught with risk.


The history of the world, and of the Balkans in particular, offers far too many examples of what can happen when the great powers pick sides in local conflicts.


A war between Russia and NATO is not in the cards here, because Russia is in no military or economic state to take on the combined power of the West. But just one serious misstep in the balancing act that Moscow and NATO are performing in Bosnia -- a shootdown of Serbian aircraft that goes wrong, or a misadventure by Russian peacekeepers in the field -- and we could be back in the Cold War.




This article has no comments.

Be the first to leave a comment


Discussion
The Moscow Times welcomes your comments and invites you to discuss topics with other readers. Your comment will be posted automatically to enable a live discussion. If you aren't familiar with our comments policy, you can read it here.

If you're a registered user, you can start typing your comment below. If not, take a moment to sign up. and then return to the article.

If your comment doesn't appear, contact us by using our web form.

Comments

Comments via Facebook



print


Comments

This article has no comments.

Be the first to leave a comment





Most Read
 

12 Years Ago Today the Church Moved Closer to Canonization

Array
Ending years of impassioned discussions that have at times threatened to split the Russian Orthodox Church, officials said this week that the church will canonize Tsar Nicholas II and his family in August.