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Today's paper. Last Updated: 05/28/2012

Let’s Get Privatization Right This Time Around

At a conference in Cambridge, Massachusetts, in February 1992, I and a few other advisers to Russia’s young reform government discussed how to pursue privatization in the country.

The main goal of privatization was to build a market economy, and the destructive asset stripping by state enterprise managers had to be stopped. Privatization had to be simple, fast and have popular appeal to beat them. Because of a “leasing” program introduced by former Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev, managers could buy the state companies for themselves. If this isn’t a conflict of interest, I don’t know what is.

Since the managers were not sure of their property rights, they gradually transferred assets of their state enterprises to “cooperatives” in their own names, established on the basis of Gorbachev’s Law on Cooperatives of May 1988. They were robbing the country empty, shifting assets from thousands of state companies to their private firms.

We were led by Harvard University professor Andrei Shleifer, one of the world’s most authoritative economists and specialists on privatization. The leading Russians were Dmitry Vasiliyev and Maxim Boiko, a top adviser to Anatoly Chubais, who headed Russia’s privatization program.

My role was marginal, but I insisted on voucher privatization to balance the state managers and get the privatization going fast before the reaction had mobilized and the companies had been destroyed by their masters. Chubais accepted our common judgment. In August 1992, President Boris Yeltsin presented voucher privatization in his speech on the anniversary of the August 1991 coup.

In the end, Chubais had to compromise with the state managers. Effectively, he allowed them to seize one-fifth of the shares of the big state companies, while employees obtained some 40 percent, and only 22 percent of the shares of 16,000 large corporations were sold at voucher auctions. Nonetheless, the final voucher sale made all the difference. Privatization was done. Suddenly, ambitious entrepreneurs knew that they could carry out hostile takeovers, and they did. The old managers could cut costs, but only new owners could think strategically and build anew.

Privatization was key to Russia’s successful construction of capitalism that delivered an average annual growth of 7 percent from 1999 to 2008. Only slightly simplified, Russia’s market reform has been privatization. Government revenue was never an aim of the early privatization.

In some big companies, the old managers were too well-connected or too criminal to be beaten. Their mismanaged enterprises could not be salvaged without privatization. This was one of the motivations of the loans-for-shares privatization in late 1995, which privatized 12 big companies, including half the oil industry. Economically, this was the most successful privatization, but because outsiders took over, the old insiders complained loudly and, as it turned out, political acceptance was more important.

As a result of the loans-for-shares privatization, the country’s oil production surged by 50 percent from 1999 to 2004, which came as a complete surprise. Previously, the general judgment was that Russia’s “brown fields” had reached their limit, but the oligarchs who took control made the correct decision by inviting international service companies to enhance production and rationalize finances and production. AvtoVAZ, by contrast, remained controlled by its old state manager for years and stayed dysfunctional and criminalized.

Since 2004, Russia’s oil production has leveled out because of the Yukos confiscation and Gazprom’s purchase of Sibneft. Rosneft and Gazprom are blatant examples of expropriation and stagnation, whose only beneficiaries are their managers and perhaps high-ranked bureaucrats.

Although state corporations have expanded again, this has been accomplished through state raiding, not free-market mechanisms. As usual with state companies, they have reduced economic efficiency. Russia’s state corporations have again been exploited to enrich the corrupt and powerful insiders. As a result, the country’s economic growth rate has fallen sharply.

Only Venezuela’s self-obsessed President Hugo Chavez has carried out an equally disastrous policy. He is, of course, a good friend of Prime Minister Vladimir Putin and Deputy Prime Minister Igor Sechin, the most destructive forces in the Russian government. Venezuela has experienced a sharp economic decline over the past 10 years, having reduced its oil production from 3.2 million barrels per day in 2000 to 2.4 million bpd in 2009, despite eminent resources. It is very disturbing to think that Putin and Sechin view Chavez’s economic model as something worth emulating.

Therefore, Russia needs a new large-scale privatization. The main goal is not to reap state revenues, but to reduce the size and influence of state companies, which might comprise as much as half of Russia’s corporate sector today. The overriding goal should be to make Russia’s economy more efficient. Moreover, privatization should reduce corruption by decreasing the power of the state managers. But this won’t be accomplished by selling minority stakes in 11 Russian state corporations worth $29 billion, as Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin announced several weeks ago.

Other forms of privatization would be more useful. Obviously, the time of voucher privatization and loans-for-shares has passed. The primary goal of privatization must be to change ownership of the state companies, not to give them more resources. They must become truly private and subsequently oust their blatantly incompetent managers, who are undertaking massive “insider privatization” at state corporations. Often it is difficult to know whether large “state companies” like Gazprombank are state-owned or insider-privatized. Opposition leaders Boris Nemtsov and Vladimir Milov have documented this well in their book “Putin and Gazprom.” The current insider privatizations are reminiscent of the Gorbachev period, and we all know how that ended.

The best solutions are perhaps a combination of two methods: initial public offerings of a majority of the shares and open auctions of individual companies or assets. While it is difficult to avoid some corruption in privatization in a country where corruption is so pervasive, an increase in private enterprise and a decrease in state enterprises can at least make a dent in the country’s level of corruption.

Privatization should break up monopolistic state corporations, oust their managers, enhance transparency and improve corporate management. State revenues remain secondary.

Anders Åslund is a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics and co-editor with Sergei Guriev and Andrew Kuchins of “Russia after the Global Economic Crisis.” He served as an economic adviser to the Russian government from 1991 to 1994.





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Let’s Get Privatization Right This Time Around

 

The economic historian, Ilja Viktorov reviews: M. Kasianov´s book: Without Putin/Bez Putina. .(& Kiselyov) Moscow 2009: /Baltic World.com., "on the nature of the Russian neoliberals, the 1990s, leaders of the transformation of Russia into a market economy. In this historical mission they failed. They preferred “ shock therapy” to gradual transition.Controversial privatization of state-owned enterprises led, eventually, to the economy falling into the hands of a few so-called oligarchs.

"A kind of civil war, followed as a result of the economic collapse in the late 1990s. 100.000s of Russian men killed themselves during the years of privati-zation/ redistribution of state property. Violence/ criminality,undermined the credibility of the institutions responsible for the stable development of the market economy. Most importantly, Russians still lack respect for private property, it could not be fostered under “shock therapy” conditions, leading to the impover-ishment of the majority of the Russians."

Putin has managed to present himself as an alternative to the “damned 90s” (Putin’s expression). Memories of the 1990s are still fresh with a majority of the Russians, as is the Russian liberals’ historical responsibility for the atrocities of the era. 

By praising the legacy of the Yeltsin period, Kasianov/ Kiselyov, defending the 1990s’ suppression of the political opposition, Yeltsin’s coup in 1993, and the tank attack on the democratically elected parliament. Yeltsin’s new constitution created the very superpresidential power system that Putin master so skillfully.

So when United States nationalizing its leading car-industry, General Motors(GM) Russia will privatize AvtoVAZ ?

 

But don´t forget the ordinbary consumers. . .

In Anders Åslund´s article there is no reference to the interests of the consumers/users/citizens , but instead most a macroperspective. Let me take some exampels from the Swedish priva-tizations who drained the taxpayers/ consumers wallets. (But if no one pay taxes in Russia, so forget it, 2% of the working population, the year of 2000 ?).

1. When the market for electricity to the households was privatized, some years ago, the prices rised many times, and a very complicated price-calculating system emerged, (connected with the supply of water in the reservoirs), a market-pool, with "private" negotioations of the prices became necessary. The ordinary consumer can easily be cheated, and it takes time that ain´t available today, for most people. Better the state take care of this business ? 

2. The capital Stockholm, had an commune-owned enterprise, delivering the electricity to its subscribers, and no problems. But the cityrulers, sold this company to privat interests, and the Finnish state(!), and it became the Fortum-enterprise. And the prices here rised, and suddenly the Fortum makes enormous profits, developed to something of a oligarc-business,, with huge so-called " bonus" incomes, to their Finnish management personal. A very good business !

3. And the same with the project of organizing the new pension-system. All was handed over to the private sharemarket, and everyone must decide in which funds, (perhaps Russian) their pensionrights should be located, to give perhaps extra profit. Capitalistic pedagogics for the people. But very few ordinary citizens has the knowledge and time available to operate a system like this, and are willing to take risks, especially in this  important personal matter.

4. The State railways:(SJ) some bought the trains, and some another parts, cargofreights, but the maintainance of rails,energysystem,, and general service no one took really care of, gave no profit, someone else ought to do, and the railwaysystem of today is under heavy criticism, with low credibility.

Those making enormous profits, are the private administrators of the funds. Rising the taxes, prices and always get control over public properties under the real value, seemed to be the main idea.

So first a campaign how "worthless, ineffective, and bad ",  the public/state producers/ assets are, and then present the lowest shame-price, that often don´t respect the economic so-called " good-will" value, of a public quite often wellmanaged business. Common in Sweden, when privatizing : schools, health-care, kindergartens. So don´t buy that trick. Compare the value of a car-workshop, with many customers, well situated, and good reputation, and the one without - state-own or not.


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