A bitter dispute over Israeli settlements is clouding the chances for progress Friday at a high-level Moscow meeting aimed at advancing Middle East peace.
Russia, eager to raise its profile as a Middle East peacemaker, has long hoped to push the process forward by hosting a follow-up to the 2007 Annapolis peace conference in the United States, with all the major players on hand.
Instead, it must settle for now for a ministerial-level meeting of the quartet of Middle East mediators — Russia, the United States, the United Nations and the European Union — at a time when hopes of a breakthrough are minimal.
The one-day quartet meeting will bring U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon and EU foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton to Moscow.
They come days after Clinton criticized as insulting the announcement of a new Israeli settlement project, which sparked Palestinian anger and dashed any hopes of indirect talks between Israel and the Palestinians soon.
"The real world is moving in the opposite direction to the quartet," said Yevgeny Satanovsky, president of Moscow's Institute of Middle East Studies.
International efforts will not solve the problems when Israelis and Palestinians are moving farther apart, he said, dismissing the quartet as "a very expensive club for diplomats."
The quartet itself said it would "take full stock" of the situation at Friday's talks, but promised nothing more.
Ban, before leaving for Moscow on Tuesday, said the United Nations was "very concerned about the situation on the ground" in the Middle East.
"I will work with our partners and the two sides to find a way to resume talks for a just resolution of this conflict," he said.
Russia has joined the other quartet members in criticizing Israel's plan to build 1,600 homes for Jews in a part of the occupied West Bank that it annexed to Jerusalem, and Russia has not played up chances for progress at the talks.
"Frankly speaking, I don't think Russia hopes for anything," said Fyodor Lukyanov, editor of the journal Russia in Global Affairs. "It's clear the general constellation of forces in the region is absolutely not conducive to achieving anything."
Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas has said the housing plan must be scrapped before proximity talks could start.
With Middle East prospects dim, Lukyanov and other Russian analysts said the trip would give Clinton a chance to push for a new nuclear arms control treaty with Russia and for Moscow's support for sanctions on Iran.
"For Clinton, the quartet meeting is just a strong pretext to come to Moscow and press the reset button again," said analyst Lilia Shevtsova of the Carnegie Moscow Center, referring to efforts by President Barack Obama's administration to mend ties with Russia.