Support The Moscow Times!

Prices on Options Exploding

Buying Russian options as protection from plunging stocks will probably be unprofitable because contract prices have surged after the nation's equity market lost one-quarter of its value this week, investors said Thursday.

"It's like buying car insurance when you live in the worst part of town," said Douglass Welch, head of derivatives sales at Troika Dialog in London.

Wider share-price swings drive up the cost of calls and puts, which investors can use to eliminate the risk of stock losses. The 30-day volatility of the MICEX Index jumped to 79.02 on Wednesday, the highest since at least 2001. Implied volatility, a gauge of expectations for future stock swings, on the RTS Index has reached about 100, Welch said.

"It's not cheap at all," said Ian Hague, founding partner of Firebird Management in New York.

Put options give the right to sell a security for a certain amount by a given date. Calls convey the right to buy. Investors use the contracts to guard against fluctuations in the price of securities they own, speculate on share-price moves or bet that volatility will increase or decrease. Volatility is a measure of the magnitude of gains and losses for a given security or index. The higher implied volatility in Russia means that investors who buy puts to bet on slumps or calls to bet on rebounds will have to pay more.

"We still have a lot of people trying to buy the bounce," Welch said. "Unless you're extremely right, it's just not profitable to buy these products."

Sign up for our free weekly newsletter

Our weekly newsletter contains a hand-picked selection of news, features, analysis and more from The Moscow Times. You will receive it in your mailbox every Friday. Never miss the latest news from Russia. Preview
Subscribers agree to the Privacy Policy

A Message from The Moscow Times:

Dear readers,

We are facing unprecedented challenges. Russia's Prosecutor General's Office has designated The Moscow Times as an "undesirable" organization, criminalizing our work and putting our staff at risk of prosecution. This follows our earlier unjust labeling as a "foreign agent."

These actions are direct attempts to silence independent journalism in Russia. The authorities claim our work "discredits the decisions of the Russian leadership." We see things differently: we strive to provide accurate, unbiased reporting on Russia.

We, the journalists of The Moscow Times, refuse to be silenced. But to continue our work, we need your help.

Your support, no matter how small, makes a world of difference. If you can, please support us monthly starting from just $2. It's quick to set up, and every contribution makes a significant impact.

By supporting The Moscow Times, you're defending open, independent journalism in the face of repression. Thank you for standing with us.

Once
Monthly
Annual
Continue
paiment methods
Not ready to support today?
Remind me later.

Read more